The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 7 сентября?
72-73°F 99.5%
70-71°F 1.0%
59°F или ниже <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,506 Объем
$1,506 Объем
59°F или ниже
Нет
60-61°F
Нет
62-63°F
Нет
64-65°F
Нет
66-67°F
Нет
68-69°F
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Да
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78°F или выше
Нет
72-73°F 99.5%
70-71°F 1.0%
59°F или ниже <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,506 Объем
$1,506 Объем
59°F или ниже
Нет
60-61°F
Нет
62-63°F
Нет
64-65°F
Нет
66-67°F
Нет
68-69°F
Нет
70-71°F
Нет
72-73°F
Да
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 72–73°F low in Los Angeles on September 7 reflect the official National Weather Service observation at Los Angeles International Airport, where the minimum reached exactly 73°F shortly after 5 a.m. local time—eight degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 65°F. This reading aligns with a persistent marine layer and above-average sea-surface temperatures that limited nocturnal cooling across the coastal basin, consistent with model guidance and station data showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s. While a different official station or measurement window could theoretically alter resolution, the strong consensus rests on verified NWS records rather than forecasts, leaving little realistic scope for deviation absent an unreported data revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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