**Recent model runs and observational trends indicate that frequent afternoon thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover associated with the southwest monsoon will likely cap Manila’s peak temperature on September 25 near 31–33 °C.** High humidity and light winds reduce daytime heating, while historical September averages hover around 31–32 °C; current guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth but persistent rain chances of 70–90 percent that suppress maxima. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because isolated clearer periods could still allow brief spikes, whereas stronger or earlier convection would favor 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the timing of rainfall relative to peak heating hours, directly influencing resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 25 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 25 сентября?
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
31°C 18%
30°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C
22%
33°C
31%
34°C
14%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C или выше
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
31°C 18%
30°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
28°C
$0 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$0 Объем
18%
31°C
$5 Объем
18%
32°C
$0 Объем
22%
33°C
$18 Объем
31%
34°C
$12 Объем
14%
35°C
$0 Объем
8%
36°C
$0 Объем
2%
37°C или выше
$171 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model runs and observational trends indicate that frequent afternoon thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover associated with the southwest monsoon will likely cap Manila’s peak temperature on September 25 near 31–33 °C.** High humidity and light winds reduce daytime heating, while historical September averages hover around 31–32 °C; current guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth but persistent rain chances of 70–90 percent that suppress maxima. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because isolated clearer periods could still allow brief spikes, whereas stronger or earlier convection would favor 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the timing of rainfall relative to peak heating hours, directly influencing resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$205Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model runs and observational trends indicate that frequent afternoon thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover associated with the southwest monsoon will likely cap Manila’s peak temperature on September 25 near 31–33 °C.** High humidity and light winds reduce daytime heating, while historical September averages hover around 31–32 °C; current guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth but persistent rain chances of 70–90 percent that suppress maxima. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because isolated clearer periods could still allow brief spikes, whereas stronger or earlier convection would favor 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the timing of rainfall relative to peak heating hours, directly influencing resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$205Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model runs and observational trends indicate that frequent afternoon thunderstorms and extensive cloud cover associated with the southwest monsoon will likely cap Manila’s peak temperature on September 25 near 31–33 °C.** High humidity and light winds reduce daytime heating, while historical September averages hover around 31–32 °C; current guidance shows slightly above-normal warmth but persistent rain chances of 70–90 percent that suppress maxima. Traders appear to assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because isolated clearer periods could still allow brief spikes, whereas stronger or earlier convection would favor 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the timing of rainfall relative to peak heating hours, directly influencing resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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