Recent official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance indicate a 32–33°C high for Manila on September 24 under the southwest monsoon, with 70–80% rain chances and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. High humidity and scattered thunderstorms—typical of the Habagat season—create the main uncertainty, as heavier convection or prolonged overcast can cap daytime peaks near 31°C while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 34°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because historical September maxima in Metro Manila average near 30–32°C, and the next 48-hour forecast updates from PAGASA and global models will refine cloud and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 24 сентября?
29°C 39%
33°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
24%
34°C
15%
35°C
11%
36°C
17%
37°C
2%
38°C или выше
<1%
29°C 39%
33°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
24%
34°C
15%
35°C
11%
36°C
17%
37°C
2%
38°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance indicate a 32–33°C high for Manila on September 24 under the southwest monsoon, with 70–80% rain chances and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. High humidity and scattered thunderstorms—typical of the Habagat season—create the main uncertainty, as heavier convection or prolonged overcast can cap daytime peaks near 31°C while brief clear spells allow brief warming toward 34°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because historical September maxima in Metro Manila average near 30–32°C, and the next 48-hour forecast updates from PAGASA and global models will refine cloud and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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