Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature for Cape Town on September 7 in the 15–17°C range, supported by clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early spring. These factors suppress radiative cooling overnight while preventing influx of cooler maritime air. Trader-implied odds, clustered between 14°C and 19°C or higher, reflect this consensus amid modest model spread from local topography and exact timing of any subtle wind shifts. Official South African Weather Service observations at key stations will determine resolution, with historical September minima averaging near 11°C providing climatological context for the current milder outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 7 сентября?
19°C или выше 74%
11°C 42%
18°C 42%
14°C 32%
9°C или ниже
15%
10°C
9%
11°C
42%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
32%
15°C
32%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C или выше
74%
19°C или выше 74%
11°C 42%
18°C 42%
14°C 32%
9°C или ниже
15%
10°C
9%
11°C
42%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
32%
15°C
32%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
42%
19°C или выше
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature for Cape Town on September 7 in the 15–17°C range, supported by clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early spring. These factors suppress radiative cooling overnight while preventing influx of cooler maritime air. Trader-implied odds, clustered between 14°C and 19°C or higher, reflect this consensus amid modest model spread from local topography and exact timing of any subtle wind shifts. Official South African Weather Service observations at key stations will determine resolution, with historical September minima averaging near 11°C providing climatological context for the current milder outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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