Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 6 сентября?
11°C или ниже 78%
21°C или выше 59%
15°C 48%
16°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
78%
12°C
28%
13°C
34%
14°C
32%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C или выше
59%
11°C или ниже 78%
21°C или выше 59%
15°C 48%
16°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$8 Объем
78%
12°C
$0 Объем
28%
13°C
$0 Объем
34%
14°C
$0 Объем
32%
15°C
$0 Объем
48%
16°C
$0 Объем
48%
17°C
$0 Объем
15%
18°C
$0 Объем
3%
19°C
$0 Объем
6%
20°C
$0 Объем
6%
21°C или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$8Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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