Forecast consensus from multiple models places Shenzhen's high on September 5 near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern and September climatological average high of 31°C. Light winds and high humidity may limit afternoon peaks, while any heavier rain could suppress readings toward the lower end of that range. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some projecting brief clearing that supports 32°C and others emphasizing convective activity favoring 30°C. These conditions align with trader positioning around the 30–31°C outcomes as the most probable based on current observational trends and short-range guidance, though the final observed maximum remains sensitive to timing of any showers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 5 сентября?
31°C 42%
30°C 27%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
27%
31°C
42%
32°C
14%
33°C или выше
6%
31°C 42%
30°C 27%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
24°C
$0 Объем
1%
25°C
$0 Объем
1%
26°C
$5 Объем
1%
27°C
$4 Объем
2%
28°C
$30 Объем
6%
29°C
$24 Объем
11%
30°C
$78 Объем
27%
31°C
$1,127 Объем
42%
32°C
$0 Объем
14%
33°C или выше
$167 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Shenzhen's high on September 5 near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern and September climatological average high of 31°C. Light winds and high humidity may limit afternoon peaks, while any heavier rain could suppress readings toward the lower end of that range. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some projecting brief clearing that supports 32°C and others emphasizing convective activity favoring 30°C. These conditions align with trader positioning around the 30–31°C outcomes as the most probable based on current observational trends and short-range guidance, though the final observed maximum remains sensitive to timing of any showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,434Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Shenzhen's high on September 5 near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern and September climatological average high of 31°C. Light winds and high humidity may limit afternoon peaks, while any heavier rain could suppress readings toward the lower end of that range. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some projecting brief clearing that supports 32°C and others emphasizing convective activity favoring 30°C. These conditions align with trader positioning around the 30–31°C outcomes as the most probable based on current observational trends and short-range guidance, though the final observed maximum remains sensitive to timing of any showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,434Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models places Shenzhen's high on September 5 near 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible, consistent with the subtropical monsoon pattern and September climatological average high of 31°C. Light winds and high humidity may limit afternoon peaks, while any heavier rain could suppress readings toward the lower end of that range. Recent model runs show minor spread, with some projecting brief clearing that supports 32°C and others emphasizing convective activity favoring 30°C. These conditions align with trader positioning around the 30–31°C outcomes as the most probable based on current observational trends and short-range guidance, though the final observed maximum remains sensitive to timing of any showers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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