Traders assign nearly equal weight to Istanbul minimum temperatures of 24°C or higher versus 14°C or below on September 7, signaling genuine model uncertainty in the forecast. This divergence arises from competing influences: a lingering warm Mediterranean air mass could keep overnight lows elevated, while a possible northerly flow or increased cloud cover might allow greater radiational cooling. Sea surface temperatures around 22–24°C provide a moderating buffer against sharp drops, yet historical September variability shows rapid shifts from passing fronts. Updated ensemble runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, plus local observations tonight, will clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer or cooler outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 7 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 7 сентября?
24°C или выше 92%
14°C или ниже 82%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
82%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C или выше
92%
24°C или выше 92%
14°C или ниже 82%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
82%
15°C
$0 Объем
50%
16°C
$0 Объем
50%
17°C
$0 Объем
50%
18°C
$0 Объем
50%
19°C
$0 Объем
50%
20°C
$0 Объем
30%
21°C
$0 Объем
29%
22°C
$0 Объем
27%
23°C
$0 Объем
50%
24°C или выше
$0 Объем
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to Istanbul minimum temperatures of 24°C or higher versus 14°C or below on September 7, signaling genuine model uncertainty in the forecast. This divergence arises from competing influences: a lingering warm Mediterranean air mass could keep overnight lows elevated, while a possible northerly flow or increased cloud cover might allow greater radiational cooling. Sea surface temperatures around 22–24°C provide a moderating buffer against sharp drops, yet historical September variability shows rapid shifts from passing fronts. Updated ensemble runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, plus local observations tonight, will clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer or cooler outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to Istanbul minimum temperatures of 24°C or higher versus 14°C or below on September 7, signaling genuine model uncertainty in the forecast. This divergence arises from competing influences: a lingering warm Mediterranean air mass could keep overnight lows elevated, while a possible northerly flow or increased cloud cover might allow greater radiational cooling. Sea surface temperatures around 22–24°C provide a moderating buffer against sharp drops, yet historical September variability shows rapid shifts from passing fronts. Updated ensemble runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, plus local observations tonight, will clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer or cooler outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to Istanbul minimum temperatures of 24°C or higher versus 14°C or below on September 7, signaling genuine model uncertainty in the forecast. This divergence arises from competing influences: a lingering warm Mediterranean air mass could keep overnight lows elevated, while a possible northerly flow or increased cloud cover might allow greater radiational cooling. Sea surface temperatures around 22–24°C provide a moderating buffer against sharp drops, yet historical September variability shows rapid shifts from passing fronts. Updated ensemble runs from agencies such as ECMWF and the Turkish State Meteorological Service, plus local observations tonight, will clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer or cooler outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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