Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 26 августа?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 Объем
$51,681 Объем
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 Объем
$51,681 Объем
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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