Persistent warm, humid southerly flow across North Texas is anchoring overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s for Dallas on September 6, with National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus showing minimal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and dew points near 70°F. Recent observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport confirm similar minima of 77–81°F over the prior two nights amid a stable high-pressure pattern and heat indices exceeding 105°F by day. Traders appear to weight the 78–81°F bins most heavily because small forecast adjustments in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the actual minimum across those thresholds, while probabilities remain diffuse across adjacent ranges reflecting typical model spread for a single overnight period this late in the warm season.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 6 сентября?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 19%
69°F или ниже
14%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
15%
88°F или выше
13%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 19%
69°F или ниже
14%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
15%
88°F или выше
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid southerly flow across North Texas is anchoring overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s for Dallas on September 6, with National Weather Service guidance and recent model consensus showing minimal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and dew points near 70°F. Recent observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport confirm similar minima of 77–81°F over the prior two nights amid a stable high-pressure pattern and heat indices exceeding 105°F by day. Traders appear to weight the 78–81°F bins most heavily because small forecast adjustments in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the actual minimum across those thresholds, while probabilities remain diffuse across adjacent ranges reflecting typical model spread for a single overnight period this late in the warm season.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы