Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43% implied probability), 25°C (27.5%), and 23°C (24.5%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms—common during the peak of the rainy season—have limited daytime solar heating and kept afternoon highs near or slightly below the long-term September average of 23–24°C. Elevated urban altitude around 2,240 meters further moderates peaks, while steering patterns favor scattered rather than intense convection. Updated model runs show only modest warming potential if rain holds off longer than expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 6 сентября?
24°C 43%
25°C 27%
23°C 25%
26°C или выше 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
25%
24°C
43%
25°C
27%
26°C или выше
6%
24°C 43%
25°C 27%
23°C 25%
26°C или выше 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$515 Объем
<1%
17°C
$171 Объем
<1%
18°C
$331 Объем
<1%
19°C
$491 Объем
<1%
20°C
$240 Объем
<1%
21°C
$224 Объем
<1%
22°C
$391 Объем
5%
23°C
$2,003 Объем
25%
24°C
$2,127 Объем
43%
25°C
$1,279 Объем
27%
26°C или выше
$861 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43% implied probability), 25°C (27.5%), and 23°C (24.5%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms—common during the peak of the rainy season—have limited daytime solar heating and kept afternoon highs near or slightly below the long-term September average of 23–24°C. Elevated urban altitude around 2,240 meters further moderates peaks, while steering patterns favor scattered rather than intense convection. Updated model runs show only modest warming potential if rain holds off longer than expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$8,634Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43% implied probability), 25°C (27.5%), and 23°C (24.5%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms—common during the peak of the rainy season—have limited daytime solar heating and kept afternoon highs near or slightly below the long-term September average of 23–24°C. Elevated urban altitude around 2,240 meters further moderates peaks, while steering patterns favor scattered rather than intense convection. Updated model runs show only modest warming potential if rain holds off longer than expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,634Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on September 6 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43% implied probability), 25°C (27.5%), and 23°C (24.5%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorms—common during the peak of the rainy season—have limited daytime solar heating and kept afternoon highs near or slightly below the long-term September average of 23–24°C. Elevated urban altitude around 2,240 meters further moderates peaks, while steering patterns favor scattered rather than intense convection. Updated model runs show only modest warming potential if rain holds off longer than expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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