A polar air mass of Antarctic origin is driving a sharp temperature drop across the Buenos Aires region ahead of September 6, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasting a minimum near 3°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Official guidance and ensemble models show the overnight low could range from near freezing in suburban areas to several degrees warmer in the urban core due to the heat island effect, while radiative cooling under clearer intervals and sustained winds above 10 km/h would limit further drops. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 0–2°C versus milder outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of wind shifts and any last-minute cloud cover changes before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 6 сентября?
8°C или выше 59%
6°C 43%
1°C 34%
-1°C 29%
-2°C или ниже
12%
-1°C
29%
0°C
28%
1°C
34%
2°C
26%
3°C
25%
4°C
23%
5°C
13%
6°C
43%
7°C
8%
8°C или выше
59%
8°C или выше 59%
6°C 43%
1°C 34%
-1°C 29%
-2°C или ниже
12%
-1°C
29%
0°C
28%
1°C
34%
2°C
26%
3°C
25%
4°C
23%
5°C
13%
6°C
43%
7°C
8%
8°C или выше
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A polar air mass of Antarctic origin is driving a sharp temperature drop across the Buenos Aires region ahead of September 6, with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasting a minimum near 3°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Official guidance and ensemble models show the overnight low could range from near freezing in suburban areas to several degrees warmer in the urban core due to the heat island effect, while radiative cooling under clearer intervals and sustained winds above 10 km/h would limit further drops. This setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 0–2°C versus milder outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of wind shifts and any last-minute cloud cover changes before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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