Persistent marine layer conditions and southwest onshore flow are keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on September 2, with official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models calling for highs mainly in the mid- to upper 60s amid morning drizzle, extensive cloud cover, and light winds. These factors, typical for early September but reinforced by a weak weather system, explain why the 72–73 °F bin leads at 43.5 % and 70–71 °F follows at 32.5 %, reflecting trader consensus that modest afternoon clearing could push readings a few degrees above the coolest guidance while remaining well below the 69.6 °F climatological average high. Updated model runs and any observed clearing before peak heating remain the key near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 2 сентября?
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 12.7%
68-69°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F или выше
<1%
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 12.7%
68-69°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
$458 Объем
1%
64-65°F
$672 Объем
2%
66-67°F
$906 Объем
2%
68-69°F
$861 Объем
7%
70-71°F
$1,553 Объем
33%
72-73°F
$1,362 Объем
43%
74-75°F
$592 Объем
13%
76-77°F
$866 Объем
3%
78-79°F
$659 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$83 Объем
<1%
82°F или выше
$119 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions and southwest onshore flow are keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on September 2, with official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models calling for highs mainly in the mid- to upper 60s amid morning drizzle, extensive cloud cover, and light winds. These factors, typical for early September but reinforced by a weak weather system, explain why the 72–73 °F bin leads at 43.5 % and 70–71 °F follows at 32.5 %, reflecting trader consensus that modest afternoon clearing could push readings a few degrees above the coolest guidance while remaining well below the 69.6 °F climatological average high. Updated model runs and any observed clearing before peak heating remain the key near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$8,130Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions and southwest onshore flow are keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on September 2, with official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models calling for highs mainly in the mid- to upper 60s amid morning drizzle, extensive cloud cover, and light winds. These factors, typical for early September but reinforced by a weak weather system, explain why the 72–73 °F bin leads at 43.5 % and 70–71 °F follows at 32.5 %, reflecting trader consensus that modest afternoon clearing could push readings a few degrees above the coolest guidance while remaining well below the 69.6 °F climatological average high. Updated model runs and any observed clearing before peak heating remain the key near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,130Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer conditions and southwest onshore flow are keeping San Francisco temperatures suppressed on September 2, with official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models calling for highs mainly in the mid- to upper 60s amid morning drizzle, extensive cloud cover, and light winds. These factors, typical for early September but reinforced by a weak weather system, explain why the 72–73 °F bin leads at 43.5 % and 70–71 °F follows at 32.5 %, reflecting trader consensus that modest afternoon clearing could push readings a few degrees above the coolest guidance while remaining well below the 69.6 °F climatological average high. Updated model runs and any observed clearing before peak heating remain the key near-term variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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