Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco's overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low in the upper 50s amid widespread cloud cover and light drizzle. Historical data show an average September 2 low of 56°F and a record low of 50°F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimums from reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies. Trader emphasis on the 62–63°F bin aligns with these conditions limiting further drops, while lower bins capture residual downside risk if skies clear or winds strengthen overnight. Updated forecasts from NOAA and NWS will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 2 сентября?
49°F или ниже 99%
50-51°F 99%
52-53°F 99%
54-55°F 99%
$320 Объем
$320 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
99%
50-51°F
99%
52-53°F
99%
54-55°F
99%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
50%
62-63°F
70%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F или выше
<1%
49°F или ниже 99%
50-51°F 99%
52-53°F 99%
54-55°F 99%
$320 Объем
$320 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
$27 Объем
99%
50-51°F
$37 Объем
99%
52-53°F
$22 Объем
99%
54-55°F
$17 Объем
99%
56-57°F
$41 Объем
1%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
50%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
50%
62-63°F
$37 Объем
70%
64-65°F
$47 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$27 Объем
<1%
68°F или выше
$65 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco's overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low in the upper 50s amid widespread cloud cover and light drizzle. Historical data show an average September 2 low of 56°F and a record low of 50°F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimums from reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies. Trader emphasis on the 62–63°F bin aligns with these conditions limiting further drops, while lower bins capture residual downside risk if skies clear or winds strengthen overnight. Updated forecasts from NOAA and NWS will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Объем
$320Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco's overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low in the upper 50s amid widespread cloud cover and light drizzle. Historical data show an average September 2 low of 56°F and a record low of 50°F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimums from reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies. Trader emphasis on the 62–63°F bin aligns with these conditions limiting further drops, while lower bins capture residual downside risk if skies clear or winds strengthen overnight. Updated forecasts from NOAA and NWS will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$320Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco's overnight temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low in the upper 50s amid widespread cloud cover and light drizzle. Historical data show an average September 2 low of 56°F and a record low of 50°F, yet recent model runs reflect elevated minimums from reduced radiational cooling under overcast skies. Trader emphasis on the 62–63°F bin aligns with these conditions limiting further drops, while lower bins capture residual downside risk if skies clear or winds strengthen overnight. Updated forecasts from NOAA and NWS will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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