Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, exceeding the seasonal normal of 75°F by 12 degrees under hazy conditions with light winds. This verified measurement directly supports the market's 100% implied probability on the 86-87°F bin, as prediction markets aggregate trader assessments of official resolution criteria such as NWS climatological reports. Historical September highs average near 71°F, making this outlier event consistent with recent warm anomalies but still within record bounds. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative downtown readings could theoretically shift the exact bin, though the consensus outcome aligns closely with primary agency reports and leaves little room for revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 8 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 8 сентября?
86-87°F 100.0%
71°F или ниже <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$49,158 Объем
$49,158 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
Нет
72-73°F
Нет
74-75°F
Нет
76-77°F
Нет
78-79°F
Нет
80-81°F
Нет
82-83°F
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Да
88-89°F
Нет
90°F или выше
Нет
86-87°F 100.0%
71°F или ниже <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$49,158 Объем
$49,158 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$1,492 Объем
Нет
72-73°F
$1,482 Объем
Нет
74-75°F
$3,681 Объем
Нет
76-77°F
$3,312 Объем
Нет
78-79°F
$2,761 Объем
Нет
80-81°F
$5,422 Объем
Нет
82-83°F
$6,484 Объем
Нет
84-85°F
$8,687 Объем
Нет
86-87°F
$5,626 Объем
Да
88-89°F
$4,405 Объем
Нет
90°F или выше
$5,805 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, exceeding the seasonal normal of 75°F by 12 degrees under hazy conditions with light winds. This verified measurement directly supports the market's 100% implied probability on the 86-87°F bin, as prediction markets aggregate trader assessments of official resolution criteria such as NWS climatological reports. Historical September highs average near 71°F, making this outlier event consistent with recent warm anomalies but still within record bounds. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative downtown readings could theoretically shift the exact bin, though the consensus outcome aligns closely with primary agency reports and leaves little room for revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$49,158Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, exceeding the seasonal normal of 75°F by 12 degrees under hazy conditions with light winds. This verified measurement directly supports the market's 100% implied probability on the 86-87°F bin, as prediction markets aggregate trader assessments of official resolution criteria such as NWS climatological reports. Historical September highs average near 71°F, making this outlier event consistent with recent warm anomalies but still within record bounds. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative downtown readings could theoretically shift the exact bin, though the consensus outcome aligns closely with primary agency reports and leaves little room for revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49,158Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official National Weather Service observations recorded a maximum temperature of 87°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, exceeding the seasonal normal of 75°F by 12 degrees under hazy conditions with light winds. This verified measurement directly supports the market's 100% implied probability on the 86-87°F bin, as prediction markets aggregate trader assessments of official resolution criteria such as NWS climatological reports. Historical September highs average near 71°F, making this outlier event consistent with recent warm anomalies but still within record bounds. Minor adjustments to station data or alternative downtown readings could theoretically shift the exact bin, though the consensus outcome aligns closely with primary agency reports and leaves little room for revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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