**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.** Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture. Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 11 сентября?
25°C 30%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
23°C или ниже 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
30%
26°C
20%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 20%
26°C 20%
23°C или ниже 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$1,977 Объем
20%
24°C
$617 Объем
20%
25°C
$801 Объем
30%
26°C
$201 Объем
20%
27°C
$305 Объем
7%
28°C
$438 Объем
4%
29°C
$209 Объем
4%
30°C
$133 Объем
2%
31°C
$176 Объем
<1%
32°C
$266 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$297 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.**
Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture.
Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$5,419Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.**
Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture.
Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,419Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, light precipitation, and a post-frontal cooling trend are the main drivers keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered around 24–26 °C for Chongqing’s September 11 maximum.** Official and model guidance issued on September 10 shows mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or drizzle, especially in western and northeastern districts, which limits daytime solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Recent observations confirm the shift: highs on the 9th–10th reached 28–29 °C before dropping under the influence of stronger northerly or southwesterly flow and increased moisture. Forecast spreads across sources illustrate the uncertainty—some runs peak near 24–26 °C while others briefly touch 28–29 °C if breaks in cloud allow stronger insolation. High humidity (often 60–80 %) and light winds further moderate extremes. With resolution hinging on the single highest official station reading, small differences in timing of any clearing or shower activity explain why 25 °C and 26 °C lead the market while lower and higher buckets remain competitive. Updated model runs and the next China Meteorological Administration briefing are the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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