**Forecast models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to a sunny, stable high-pressure pattern over Beijing on September 10, supporting trader consensus around a 29–30°C peak.** Recent observations show surface temperatures rising from a cooler 25°C high on September 9 amid light northerly to southwesterly winds and low humidity, consistent with typical early-September climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, limiting upside potential beyond 31°C while keeping sub-28°C outcomes unlikely without an unexpected frontal passage. These conditions align with the market-implied 53.5% probability on 30°C and secondary support near 29–31°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs rather than any dramatic shift in the past 48 hours. Updated CMA briefings and next model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 10 сентября?
30°C 53%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$11,586 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,586 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
23%
30°C
53%
31°C
20%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C или выше
<1%
30°C 53%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$11,586 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,586 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$490 Объем
<1%
25°C
$238 Объем
<1%
26°C
$390 Объем
1%
27°C
$715 Объем
2%
28°C
$768 Объем
6%
29°C
$1,221 Объем
23%
30°C
$3,841 Объем
53%
31°C
$2,196 Объем
20%
32°C
$895 Объем
<1%
33°C
$311 Объем
1%
34°C или выше
$521 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to a sunny, stable high-pressure pattern over Beijing on September 10, supporting trader consensus around a 29–30°C peak.** Recent observations show surface temperatures rising from a cooler 25°C high on September 9 amid light northerly to southwesterly winds and low humidity, consistent with typical early-September climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, limiting upside potential beyond 31°C while keeping sub-28°C outcomes unlikely without an unexpected frontal passage. These conditions align with the market-implied 53.5% probability on 30°C and secondary support near 29–31°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs rather than any dramatic shift in the past 48 hours. Updated CMA briefings and next model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$11,586Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to a sunny, stable high-pressure pattern over Beijing on September 10, supporting trader consensus around a 29–30°C peak.** Recent observations show surface temperatures rising from a cooler 25°C high on September 9 amid light northerly to southwesterly winds and low humidity, consistent with typical early-September climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, limiting upside potential beyond 31°C while keeping sub-28°C outcomes unlikely without an unexpected frontal passage. These conditions align with the market-implied 53.5% probability on 30°C and secondary support near 29–31°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs rather than any dramatic shift in the past 48 hours. Updated CMA briefings and next model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,586Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to a sunny, stable high-pressure pattern over Beijing on September 10, supporting trader consensus around a 29–30°C peak.** Recent observations show surface temperatures rising from a cooler 25°C high on September 9 amid light northerly to southwesterly winds and low humidity, consistent with typical early-September climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, limiting upside potential beyond 31°C while keeping sub-28°C outcomes unlikely without an unexpected frontal passage. These conditions align with the market-implied 53.5% probability on 30°C and secondary support near 29–31°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and historical analogs rather than any dramatic shift in the past 48 hours. Updated CMA briefings and next model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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