Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F for Chicago on September 11, consistent with seasonal norms near 61°F, yet the near-even split between sub-51°F and 70°F+ outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in short-range model runs. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a building high-pressure ridge, which controls radiational cooling rates, surface wind speeds that limit mixing, and dew-point depressions that influence how far temperatures drop before sunrise. With resolution hinging on official observations at major stations, traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any rapid updates from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices that could shift the diurnal minimum by several degrees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чикаго 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чикаго 11 сентября?
51°F или ниже 98%
70°F или выше 98%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
51°F или ниже
98%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
40%
70°F или выше
98%
51°F или ниже 98%
70°F или выше 98%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
51°F или ниже
$0 Объем
98%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
39%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
39%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
39%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
40%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
40%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
40%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
39%
66-67°F
$0 Объем
40%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
40%
70°F или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F for Chicago on September 11, consistent with seasonal norms near 61°F, yet the near-even split between sub-51°F and 70°F+ outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in short-range model runs. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a building high-pressure ridge, which controls radiational cooling rates, surface wind speeds that limit mixing, and dew-point depressions that influence how far temperatures drop before sunrise. With resolution hinging on official observations at major stations, traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any rapid updates from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices that could shift the diurnal minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F for Chicago on September 11, consistent with seasonal norms near 61°F, yet the near-even split between sub-51°F and 70°F+ outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in short-range model runs. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a building high-pressure ridge, which controls radiational cooling rates, surface wind speeds that limit mixing, and dew-point depressions that influence how far temperatures drop before sunrise. With resolution hinging on official observations at major stations, traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any rapid updates from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices that could shift the diurnal minimum by several degrees.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F for Chicago on September 11, consistent with seasonal norms near 61°F, yet the near-even split between sub-51°F and 70°F+ outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in short-range model runs. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of a building high-pressure ridge, which controls radiational cooling rates, surface wind speeds that limit mixing, and dew-point depressions that influence how far temperatures drop before sunrise. With resolution hinging on official observations at major stations, traders are weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any rapid updates from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices that could shift the diurnal minimum by several degrees.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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