**Current forecast models and observational trends position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Beijing’s September 11 high temperature.** Clear skies, light northerly to southwesterly winds, and subsiding high pressure are expected to promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover, supporting surface temperatures several degrees above the seasonal average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 29°C high, yet ensemble and international model runs show a warmer bias consistent with recent dry, stable conditions across northern China. Traders appear to weigh the potential for model consensus shifts toward 30–32°C ahead of final updates, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling under the projected pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Beijing’s primary observing station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 11 сентября?
31°C 49%
32°C 27%
30°C 16%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
16%
31°C
49%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 27%
30°C 16%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$306 Объем
<1%
26°C
$218 Объем
<1%
27°C
$761 Объем
2%
28°C
$436 Объем
4%
29°C
$706 Объем
6%
30°C
$359 Объем
16%
31°C
$1,621 Объем
49%
32°C
$993 Объем
27%
33°C
$1,149 Объем
6%
34°C
$22 Объем
1%
35°C или выше
$214 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and observational trends position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Beijing’s September 11 high temperature.** Clear skies, light northerly to southwesterly winds, and subsiding high pressure are expected to promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover, supporting surface temperatures several degrees above the seasonal average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 29°C high, yet ensemble and international model runs show a warmer bias consistent with recent dry, stable conditions across northern China. Traders appear to weigh the potential for model consensus shifts toward 30–32°C ahead of final updates, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling under the projected pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Beijing’s primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$6,784Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models and observational trends position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Beijing’s September 11 high temperature.** Clear skies, light northerly to southwesterly winds, and subsiding high pressure are expected to promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover, supporting surface temperatures several degrees above the seasonal average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 29°C high, yet ensemble and international model runs show a warmer bias consistent with recent dry, stable conditions across northern China. Traders appear to weigh the potential for model consensus shifts toward 30–32°C ahead of final updates, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling under the projected pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Beijing’s primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,784Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models and observational trends position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Beijing’s September 11 high temperature.** Clear skies, light northerly to southwesterly winds, and subsiding high pressure are expected to promote strong daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover, supporting surface temperatures several degrees above the seasonal average. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration currently indicates a 29°C high, yet ensemble and international model runs show a warmer bias consistent with recent dry, stable conditions across northern China. Traders appear to weigh the potential for model consensus shifts toward 30–32°C ahead of final updates, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the low likelihood of significant cooling under the projected pattern. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Beijing’s primary observing station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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