Forecast models from agencies like the National Weather Service project Austin highs near 100–103°F on September 12 amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating under a stable late-summer pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on the 100–103°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 12 сентября?
100-101°F 47%
102-103°F 40%
98-99°F 5%
106-107°F 2%
НОВОЕ
$19,901 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,901 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
47%
102-103°F
40%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 47%
102-103°F 40%
98-99°F 5%
106-107°F 2%
НОВОЕ
$19,901 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,901 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
$389 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$438 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$792 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$415 Объем
1%
98-99°F
$3,042 Объем
5%
100-101°F
$5,735 Объем
47%
102-103°F
$5,298 Объем
40%
104-105°F
$2,166 Объем
2%
106-107°F
$977 Объем
2%
108-109°F
$267 Объем
1%
110°F или выше
$380 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the National Weather Service project Austin highs near 100–103°F on September 12 amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating under a stable late-summer pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on the 100–103°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$19,901Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the National Weather Service project Austin highs near 100–103°F on September 12 amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating under a stable late-summer pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on the 100–103°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,901Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the National Weather Service project Austin highs near 100–103°F on September 12 amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and elevated humidity that boosts heat indices above 105°F. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating under a stable late-summer pattern with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on the 100–103°F bins because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing determining whether the peak reaches the upper or lower end. Updated model runs and official observations throughout the day will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы