Current forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles project a maximum temperature of 18–20°C in Moscow on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C outcomes, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no strong warm or cool advection. Historical September averages near 16.7°C provide context, while the slight elevation above normal stems from persistent mild air masses. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 14 сентября?
19°C 45%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
31%
19°C
45%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C или выше
1%
19°C 45%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
17°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$167 Объем
1%
14°C
$100 Объем
1%
15°C
$68 Объем
2%
16°C
$12 Объем
3%
17°C
$82 Объем
6%
18°C
$235 Объем
31%
19°C
$157 Объем
45%
20°C
$99 Объем
18%
21°C
$124 Объем
3%
22°C
$18 Объем
3%
23°C или выше
$144 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles project a maximum temperature of 18–20°C in Moscow on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C outcomes, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no strong warm or cool advection. Historical September averages near 16.7°C provide context, while the slight elevation above normal stems from persistent mild air masses. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,207Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles project a maximum temperature of 18–20°C in Moscow on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C outcomes, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no strong warm or cool advection. Historical September averages near 16.7°C provide context, while the slight elevation above normal stems from persistent mild air masses. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,207Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles project a maximum temperature of 18–20°C in Moscow on September 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C and 18°C outcomes, as recent runs show limited day-to-day variability and no strong warm or cool advection. Historical September averages near 16.7°C provide context, while the slight elevation above normal stems from persistent mild air masses. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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