Current forecasts from meteorological models place Moscow's overnight low for September 14 around 9–12 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with the long-term September average of roughly 8 °C. The near-even market-implied odds between a low of 5 °C or below versus 15 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in guidance, driven by uncertainty in the exact timing and strength of any cold-air advection versus warmer southerly return flow. Key variables include the position of the polar jet, surface high-pressure placement, and cloud-cover effects on radiative cooling, all of which can shift minimum temperatures several degrees in either direction before official observations finalize the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 14 сентября?
5°C или ниже 78%
15°C или выше 78%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
78%
6°C
40%
7°C
24%
8°C
26%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C или выше
78%
5°C или ниже 78%
15°C или выше 78%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$0 Объем
78%
6°C
$0 Объем
40%
7°C
$0 Объем
24%
8°C
$0 Объем
26%
9°C
$0 Объем
22%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
40%
12°C
$0 Объем
18%
13°C
$0 Объем
18%
14°C
$0 Объем
18%
15°C или выше
$0 Объем
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Moscow's overnight low for September 14 around 9–12 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with the long-term September average of roughly 8 °C. The near-even market-implied odds between a low of 5 °C or below versus 15 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in guidance, driven by uncertainty in the exact timing and strength of any cold-air advection versus warmer southerly return flow. Key variables include the position of the polar jet, surface high-pressure placement, and cloud-cover effects on radiative cooling, all of which can shift minimum temperatures several degrees in either direction before official observations finalize the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models place Moscow's overnight low for September 14 around 9–12 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with the long-term September average of roughly 8 °C. The near-even market-implied odds between a low of 5 °C or below versus 15 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in guidance, driven by uncertainty in the exact timing and strength of any cold-air advection versus warmer southerly return flow. Key variables include the position of the polar jet, surface high-pressure placement, and cloud-cover effects on radiative cooling, all of which can shift minimum temperatures several degrees in either direction before official observations finalize the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models place Moscow's overnight low for September 14 around 9–12 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, consistent with the long-term September average of roughly 8 °C. The near-even market-implied odds between a low of 5 °C or below versus 15 °C or higher reflect substantial ensemble spread in guidance, driven by uncertainty in the exact timing and strength of any cold-air advection versus warmer southerly return flow. Key variables include the position of the polar jet, surface high-pressure placement, and cloud-cover effects on radiative cooling, all of which can shift minimum temperatures several degrees in either direction before official observations finalize the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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