Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 15°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 13, driven by a stable southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions expected to limit daytime warming. Current guidance from sources including MetService-aligned outlooks shows highs of 14–15°C (roughly 57–59°F), consistent with early-spring climatology where average September maxima hover near 13–14°C. Light to moderate southerly winds and high pressure building from the south are suppressing stronger northerly advection that could push readings to 16°C or above. Model agreement remains high with low uncertainty ranges, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 13 сентября?
15°C 47%
16°C 34%
14°C 14%
13°C 7%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
14%
15°C
47%
16°C
34%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 34%
14°C 14%
13°C 7%
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
14%
15°C
47%
16°C
34%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 15°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s maximum temperature on September 13, driven by a stable southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions expected to limit daytime warming. Current guidance from sources including MetService-aligned outlooks shows highs of 14–15°C (roughly 57–59°F), consistent with early-spring climatology where average September maxima hover near 13–14°C. Light to moderate southerly winds and high pressure building from the south are suppressing stronger northerly advection that could push readings to 16°C or above. Model agreement remains high with low uncertainty ranges, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could adjust the peak by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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