Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?
15°C 61%
14°C 26%
16°C 13%
12°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
26%
15°C
61%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 61%
14°C 26%
16°C 13%
12°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$653 Объем
<1%
10°C
$176 Объем
<1%
11°C
$194 Объем
1%
12°C
$626 Объем
2%
13°C
$1,654 Объем
2%
14°C
$1,385 Объем
26%
15°C
$2,884 Объем
61%
16°C
$1,221 Объем
13%
17°C
$225 Объем
2%
18°C
$350 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$471 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$9,839Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,839Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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