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icon for Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?

Ended: сент. 11

сент. 14

сент. 15

Ended: сент. 11

сент. 14

сент. 15

5°C 100.0%

3°C 2%

2°C или ниже <1%

4°C <1%

Polymarket

$881 Объем

5°C 100.0%

3°C 2%

2°C или ниже <1%

4°C <1%

Polymarket

$881 Объем

2°C или ниже

$20 Объем

Нет

3°C

$5 Объем

Нет

4°C

$60 Объем

Нет

5°C

$238 Объем

Да

6°C

$126 Объем

Нет

7°C

$159 Объем

Нет

8°C

$115 Объем

Нет

9°C

$92 Объем

Нет

10°C

$15 Объем

Нет

11°C

$25 Объем

Нет

12°C или выше

$25 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$881
Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Wellington-area stations and forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 5°C, producing the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, with light southerly winds and dew points in the mid-40s °F (roughly 7–8 °C), have allowed radiational cooling to reach this level without significant cloud cover or warmer advection interrupting the trend. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology for the region, where September overnight lows often fall between 4–7 °C under similar high-pressure setups. The 100 % implied probability reflects traders' assessment that official MetService or equivalent verified readings will settle at 5 °C. A late revision in station data, an unforecasted wind shift, or measurement discrepancy at the precise reporting site could still shift resolution, though such changes remain low-probability given converging model guidance and real-time observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$881
Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Связанные

icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 9°C 15 сентября?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 9°C 15 сентября?

34%
Да
icon for Будет ли минимальная температура в Веллингтоне 7°C 14 сентября?

Будет ли минимальная температура в Веллингтоне 7°C 14 сентября?

50%
Да
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Веллингтоне 16°C 15 сентября?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Веллингтоне 16°C 15 сентября?

49%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «5°C» с 100%, за ним следует «2°C или ниже» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?» — «5°C» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2°C или ниже» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 11 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.