**Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 most likely between 19–21°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C and 21°C outcomes.** Westerly to northwesterly flow, combined with persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain, is limiting daytime heating under moderate pressure. This setup favors values near the long-term September average high of roughly 19.5°C while allowing brief afternoon breaks to push readings into the low 20s. Updated model runs show limited spread, with little support for 22°C or higher under the current steering pattern and marine air influence. Traders are pricing in this consensus ahead of final observational data from Schiphol, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded that day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 13 сентября?
21°C 57%
20°C 36%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
$11,519 Объем
$11,519 Объем
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
36%
21°C
57%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
21°C 57%
20°C 36%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
$11,519 Объем
$11,519 Объем
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
36%
21°C
57%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast guidance from multiple models indicates a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 most likely between 19–21°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C and 21°C outcomes.** Westerly to northwesterly flow, combined with persistent cloud cover and periods of light rain, is limiting daytime heating under moderate pressure. This setup favors values near the long-term September average high of roughly 19.5°C while allowing brief afternoon breaks to push readings into the low 20s. Updated model runs show limited spread, with little support for 22°C or higher under the current steering pattern and marine air influence. Traders are pricing in this consensus ahead of final observational data from Schiphol, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded that day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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