Current forecasts from multiple models project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 15 near 25–26°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (70–90%) limiting radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and urban heat effects keep temperatures from falling sharply, consistent with historical mid-September averages around 24°C but tempered by recent shower activity. Trader consensus clusters on 24–26°C outcomes because model runs show minor divergence in the exact timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Lower probabilities for 20°C or below reflect the absence of any cool-air intrusion or strong high-pressure system that would enhance nocturnal cooling in this subtropical regime.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 15 сентября?
20°C или ниже 99%
21°C 98%
22°C 91%
23°C 91%
20°C или ниже
99%
21°C
98%
22°C
91%
23°C
91%
24°C
47%
25°C
43%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
20°C или ниже 99%
21°C 98%
22°C 91%
23°C 91%
20°C или ниже
99%
21°C
98%
22°C
91%
23°C
91%
24°C
47%
25°C
43%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 15 near 25–26°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (70–90%) limiting radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and urban heat effects keep temperatures from falling sharply, consistent with historical mid-September averages around 24°C but tempered by recent shower activity. Trader consensus clusters on 24–26°C outcomes because model runs show minor divergence in the exact timing of any clearing or rainfall intensity, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Lower probabilities for 20°C or below reflect the absence of any cool-air intrusion or strong high-pressure system that would enhance nocturnal cooling in this subtropical regime.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы