Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 15 сентября?
22°C 29%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
24°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
20%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C или выше
1%
22°C 29%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
24°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$10 Объем
1%
17°C
$10 Объем
1%
18°C
$10 Объем
3%
19°C
$7 Объем
6%
20°C
$20 Объем
6%
21°C
$65 Объем
20%
22°C
$5 Объем
29%
23°C
$63 Объем
25%
24°C
$7 Объем
14%
25°C
$0 Объем
7%
26°C или выше
$1 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Объем
$198Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$198Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15 clustering around 21–23 °C because an approaching frontal system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and northerly winds that suppress daytime heating. Official model consensus points to a maximum near 22 °C, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of heaviest precipitation and the depth of low-level moisture; earlier or more intense rain would cap readings closer to 21 °C, while delayed onset or partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 23–24 °C. Historical September baselines for the Sichuan basin average 25–26 °C under clearer conditions, underscoring how this synoptic setup deviates from climatology and creates the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Updated NHC-style guidance and local mesoscale runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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