Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Карачи 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Карачи 13 сентября?
38°C 31%
37°C 30%
39°C 20%
36°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$10,842 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,842 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
12%
37°C
30%
38°C
31%
39°C
20%
40°C
5%
41°C или выше
2%
38°C 31%
37°C 30%
39°C 20%
36°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$10,842 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,842 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
$1,088 Объем
1%
32°C
$440 Объем
<1%
33°C
$761 Объем
1%
34°C
$648 Объем
1%
35°C
$371 Объем
4%
36°C
$724 Объем
12%
37°C
$2,654 Объем
30%
38°C
$1,323 Объем
31%
39°C
$1,010 Объем
20%
40°C
$1,107 Объем
5%
41°C или выше
$716 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$10,842Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,842Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 37–38°C outcomes as near coin-flip propositions because the latest GFS and ensemble runs converge on a daytime maximum in that narrow band for Karachi on September 13, driven by mostly sunny skies, westerly flow near 10–15 km/h, and dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C that limit extreme heat buildup. Model spread and local urban heat-island effects create realistic paths to either 36 °C or 39 °C, keeping those probabilities within a few points of the leaders, while the historical September baseline near 32–34 °C underscores how current synoptic conditions have elevated the expected peak. Updated model guidance and official Pakistan Meteorological Department observations tomorrow morning will be the key data releases likely to shift positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы