**Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 24–27 °C for Guangzhou’s September 16 minimum.** In this subtropical monsoon climate, typical September diurnal ranges are modest (roughly 5–8 °C), and current forecasts show daytime maxima near 31–32 °C with nighttime values around 25–26 °C amid 70–85 % relative humidity and 50–80 % storm chances. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress surface cooling while urban heat-island effects in the city further buffer temperature drops; conversely, any clearer intervals or stronger northerly flow could allow the mercury to dip toward 24 °C or briefly lower. Model consensus and real-time observations therefore produce only marginal differences in probability across the 24–27 °C band, with the 20 °C-or-below outcome remaining a low-probability tail event requiring atypical cooling. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and overnight station readings will be the next key inputs for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 16 сентября?
20°C или ниже 92%
22°C 91%
23°C 91%
24°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
92%
21°C
18%
22°C
91%
23°C
91%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
20°C или ниже 92%
22°C 91%
23°C 91%
24°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
92%
21°C
$0 Объем
18%
22°C
$231 Объем
91%
23°C
$72 Объем
91%
24°C
$4 Объем
48%
25°C
$37 Объем
48%
26°C
$24 Объем
48%
27°C
$18 Объем
-
28°C
$10 Объем
<1%
29°C
$15 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 24–27 °C for Guangzhou’s September 16 minimum.**
In this subtropical monsoon climate, typical September diurnal ranges are modest (roughly 5–8 °C), and current forecasts show daytime maxima near 31–32 °C with nighttime values around 25–26 °C amid 70–85 % relative humidity and 50–80 % storm chances. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress surface cooling while urban heat-island effects in the city further buffer temperature drops; conversely, any clearer intervals or stronger northerly flow could allow the mercury to dip toward 24 °C or briefly lower. Model consensus and real-time observations therefore produce only marginal differences in probability across the 24–27 °C band, with the 20 °C-or-below outcome remaining a low-probability tail event requiring atypical cooling. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and overnight station readings will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$421Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 24–27 °C for Guangzhou’s September 16 minimum.**
In this subtropical monsoon climate, typical September diurnal ranges are modest (roughly 5–8 °C), and current forecasts show daytime maxima near 31–32 °C with nighttime values around 25–26 °C amid 70–85 % relative humidity and 50–80 % storm chances. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress surface cooling while urban heat-island effects in the city further buffer temperature drops; conversely, any clearer intervals or stronger northerly flow could allow the mercury to dip toward 24 °C or briefly lower. Model consensus and real-time observations therefore produce only marginal differences in probability across the 24–27 °C band, with the 20 °C-or-below outcome remaining a low-probability tail event requiring atypical cooling. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and overnight station readings will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$421Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 24–27 °C for Guangzhou’s September 16 minimum.** In this subtropical monsoon climate, typical September diurnal ranges are modest (roughly 5–8 °C), and current forecasts show daytime maxima near 31–32 °C with nighttime values around 25–26 °C amid 70–85 % relative humidity and 50–80 % storm chances. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress surface cooling while urban heat-island effects in the city further buffer temperature drops; conversely, any clearer intervals or stronger northerly flow could allow the mercury to dip toward 24 °C or briefly lower. Model consensus and real-time observations therefore produce only marginal differences in probability across the 24–27 °C band, with the 20 °C-or-below outcome remaining a low-probability tail event requiring atypical cooling. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and overnight station readings will be the next key inputs for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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