Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 17 сентября?
24°C 40%
25°C или выше 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
40%
25°C или выше
32%
24°C 40%
25°C или выше 32%
23°C 18%
22°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$31 Объем
<1%
16°C
$31 Объем
<1%
17°C
$31 Объем
<1%
18°C
$31 Объем
<1%
19°C
$53 Объем
<1%
20°C
$53 Объем
<1%
21°C
$359 Объем
2%
22°C
$374 Объем
5%
23°C
$1,998 Объем
18%
24°C
$696 Объем
40%
25°C или выше
$2,159 Объем
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,815Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,815Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological services points to a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 17, driven by seasonal monsoon moisture and northerly flow that favors afternoon convective clouds and scattered showers. These conditions typically limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling, keeping highs near the September climatological average rather than allowing stronger warming. Model runs show variability in precipitation timing, with heavier rain potentially suppressing the peak below 23°C or lighter activity permitting a brief reach to 25°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance of these scenarios, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow range of likely outcomes under current atmospheric guidance. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы