Forecast models indicate mostly cloudy conditions and easterly winds of 7–12 km/h will cap Wuhan's maximum on September 16 near 26–29 °C, with the tightest trader clustering around 27–28 °C reflecting minor differences in expected cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance shows a cooling trend from today's 29–30 °C peaks as a northeast flow advects slightly cooler, drier air, while dew points near 15–17 °C limit afternoon heating. Low precipitation chances (under 25 %) reduce evaporative cooling risks, keeping the distribution narrow; any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 29 °C, whereas thicker cloud decks would favor the lower 26 °C outcome. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 16 сентября?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 22%
29°C 11%
$11,729 Объем
$11,729 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C или выше
1%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 22%
29°C 11%
$11,729 Объем
$11,729 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
31%
28°C
28%
29°C
11%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate mostly cloudy conditions and easterly winds of 7–12 km/h will cap Wuhan's maximum on September 16 near 26–29 °C, with the tightest trader clustering around 27–28 °C reflecting minor differences in expected cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. Official guidance shows a cooling trend from today's 29–30 °C peaks as a northeast flow advects slightly cooler, drier air, while dew points near 15–17 °C limit afternoon heating. Low precipitation chances (under 25 %) reduce evaporative cooling risks, keeping the distribution narrow; any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 29 °C, whereas thicker cloud decks would favor the lower 26 °C outcome. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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