Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 15 сентября?
25°C 100.0%
17°C или ниже <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,709 Объем
$31,709 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Да
26°C
Нет
27°C или выше
Нет
25°C 100.0%
17°C или ниже <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,709 Объем
$31,709 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$348 Объем
Нет
18°C
$297 Объем
Нет
19°C
$348 Объем
Нет
20°C
$1,329 Объем
Нет
21°C
$391 Объем
Нет
22°C
$1,420 Объем
Нет
23°C
$5,684 Объем
Нет
24°C
$11,974 Объем
Нет
25°C
$5,820 Объем
Да
26°C
$2,467 Объем
Нет
27°C или выше
$1,631 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Объем
$31,709Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$31,709Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C in Mexico City on September 15, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. This result matches typical September climatology for the highland basin at roughly 2,240 meters elevation, where daytime highs average near 25°C amid moderate insolation, variable cloud cover, and light winds that limit extreme heating. Model guidance issued in the preceding days projected similar peaks near 22–24°C under partly cloudy conditions, with the final recorded value falling squarely at the consensus level. Only a significant station measurement revision or atypical microclimate effect at the designated reporting site could alter resolution, though current data show no such discrepancy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы