Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate a sunny day with northerly flow and light winds, positioning the daytime high near 21–22 °C under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at those exact thresholds, reflecting consensus on moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September. Partly cloudy periods and dew points in the low teens Celsius are expected to limit further warming, while historical averages near 21 °C provide context for the tight probability spread. Updated model guidance through the morning of September 18 will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 18 сентября?
21°C 51%
22°C 31%
20°C 13%
23°C 7%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
51%
22°C
31%
23°C
7%
24°C или выше
2%
21°C 51%
22°C 31%
20°C 13%
23°C 7%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
51%
22°C
31%
23°C
7%
24°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting model runs indicate a sunny day with northerly flow and light winds, positioning the daytime high near 21–22 °C under stable high pressure. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at those exact thresholds, reflecting consensus on moderate daytime heating typical for mid-September. Partly cloudy periods and dew points in the low teens Celsius are expected to limit further warming, while historical averages near 21 °C provide context for the tight probability spread. Updated model guidance through the morning of September 18 will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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