Recent heavy rainfall across São Paulo, marking the wettest September start on record since 1943 with volumes triple the monthly average, has suppressed daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and elevated soil moisture. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a maximum near 18–19°C on September 16 amid southeasterly flow and lingering showers, well below the climatological average high of 24–26°C. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 19–21°C outcomes, as cooler boundary-layer conditions and limited solar insolation reduce upside potential for 22°C or higher while keeping sub-18°C probabilities low absent rapid clearing. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 сентября?
20°C 36%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
18°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
12%
19°C
24%
20°C
36%
21°C
22%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
20°C 36%
19°C 24%
21°C 22%
18°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$195 Объем
<1%
15°C
$156 Объем
1%
16°C
$15 Объем
1%
17°C
$1,187 Объем
2%
18°C
$1,063 Объем
12%
19°C
$868 Объем
24%
20°C
$847 Объем
36%
21°C
$1,447 Объем
22%
22°C
$122 Объем
3%
23°C
$297 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$350 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across São Paulo, marking the wettest September start on record since 1943 with volumes triple the monthly average, has suppressed daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and elevated soil moisture. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a maximum near 18–19°C on September 16 amid southeasterly flow and lingering showers, well below the climatological average high of 24–26°C. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 19–21°C outcomes, as cooler boundary-layer conditions and limited solar insolation reduce upside potential for 22°C or higher while keeping sub-18°C probabilities low absent rapid clearing. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Объем
$6,547Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across São Paulo, marking the wettest September start on record since 1943 with volumes triple the monthly average, has suppressed daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and elevated soil moisture. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a maximum near 18–19°C on September 16 amid southeasterly flow and lingering showers, well below the climatological average high of 24–26°C. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 19–21°C outcomes, as cooler boundary-layer conditions and limited solar insolation reduce upside potential for 22°C or higher while keeping sub-18°C probabilities low absent rapid clearing. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,547Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across São Paulo, marking the wettest September start on record since 1943 with volumes triple the monthly average, has suppressed daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and elevated soil moisture. Official forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Yr indicate a maximum near 18–19°C on September 16 amid southeasterly flow and lingering showers, well below the climatological average high of 24–26°C. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 19–21°C outcomes, as cooler boundary-layer conditions and limited solar insolation reduce upside potential for 22°C or higher while keeping sub-18°C probabilities low absent rapid clearing. Updated model runs and any afternoon observations could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы