Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected during the afternoon that could limit peak readings or allow brief spikes. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around these levels amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability, though timing of cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact resolution. Historical September highs average near 20°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by regional pressure setups. Updated forecasts and observational data ahead of peak heating hours will likely refine implied probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 16 сентября?
26°C 43%
25°C 22%
27°C 15%
24°C 12%
$11,505 Объем
$11,505 Объем
23°C или ниже
8%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
43%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 22%
27°C 15%
24°C 12%
$11,505 Объем
$11,505 Объем
23°C или ниже
8%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
43%
27°C
15%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Munich on September 16, 2026, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected during the afternoon that could limit peak readings or allow brief spikes. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus around these levels amid above-average warmth for mid-September. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability, though timing of cloud cover introduces uncertainty in exact resolution. Historical September highs average near 20°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by regional pressure setups. Updated forecasts and observational data ahead of peak heating hours will likely refine implied probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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