Recent forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office and regional outputs indicate a high near 23°C for São Paulo on September 18, driven by easterly flow, gradual clearing after overnight lows around 14–16°C, and limited moisture. This aligns with the tight market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. September climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 24–26°C, but the current cooler synoptic pattern has kept recent highs suppressed, adding uncertainty to precise resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of market settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 18 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 18 сентября?
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 20%
25°C или выше 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
20%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C или выше
9%
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 20%
25°C или выше 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$464 Объем
<1%
16°C
$334 Объем
<1%
17°C
$134 Объем
<1%
18°C
$0 Объем
1%
19°C
$39 Объем
2%
20°C
$161 Объем
2%
21°C
$283 Объем
9%
22°C
$283 Объем
20%
23°C
$454 Объем
33%
24°C
$654 Объем
28%
25°C или выше
$382 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office and regional outputs indicate a high near 23°C for São Paulo on September 18, driven by easterly flow, gradual clearing after overnight lows around 14–16°C, and limited moisture. This aligns with the tight market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. September climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 24–26°C, but the current cooler synoptic pattern has kept recent highs suppressed, adding uncertainty to precise resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Объем
$3,188Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office and regional outputs indicate a high near 23°C for São Paulo on September 18, driven by easterly flow, gradual clearing after overnight lows around 14–16°C, and limited moisture. This aligns with the tight market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. September climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 24–26°C, but the current cooler synoptic pattern has kept recent highs suppressed, adding uncertainty to precise resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,188Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office and regional outputs indicate a high near 23°C for São Paulo on September 18, driven by easterly flow, gradual clearing after overnight lows around 14–16°C, and limited moisture. This aligns with the tight market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1°C. September climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 24–26°C, but the current cooler synoptic pattern has kept recent highs suppressed, adding uncertainty to precise resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of market settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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