Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on September 19, driven by moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical late-September rainy-season conditions—with afternoon convection, high humidity, and 30-70% precipitation chances—limit peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent observations show similar highs of 22-25°C amid overcast skies, aligning with climatological September averages around 24°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty between 24-26°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 26°C or higher if clearer conditions develop. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 19 сентября?
25°C 53%
26°C или выше 30%
24°C 16%
23°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
53%
26°C или выше
30%
25°C 53%
26°C или выше 30%
24°C 16%
23°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$31 Объем
<1%
17°C
$31 Объем
<1%
18°C
$31 Объем
<1%
19°C
$31 Объем
<1%
20°C
$58 Объем
<1%
21°C
$143 Объем
1%
22°C
$519 Объем
2%
23°C
$157 Объем
4%
24°C
$565 Объем
16%
25°C
$1,114 Объем
53%
26°C или выше
$582 Объем
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on September 19, driven by moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical late-September rainy-season conditions—with afternoon convection, high humidity, and 30-70% precipitation chances—limit peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent observations show similar highs of 22-25°C amid overcast skies, aligning with climatological September averages around 24°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty between 24-26°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 26°C or higher if clearer conditions develop. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,262Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on September 19, driven by moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical late-September rainy-season conditions—with afternoon convection, high humidity, and 30-70% precipitation chances—limit peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent observations show similar highs of 22-25°C amid overcast skies, aligning with climatological September averages around 24°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty between 24-26°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 26°C or higher if clearer conditions develop. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,262Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses indicate a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on September 19, driven by moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Typical late-September rainy-season conditions—with afternoon convection, high humidity, and 30-70% precipitation chances—limit peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. Recent observations show similar highs of 22-25°C amid overcast skies, aligning with climatological September averages around 24°C. Model spreads introduce uncertainty between 24-26°C, supporting the market's emphasis on 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to 26°C or higher if clearer conditions develop. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and satellite data will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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