Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 19 amid typical September conditions of high humidity near 80% and widespread thunderstorm activity with 80–95% precipitation probability. This closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C reflect trader consensus on model consensus and historical climatology, where afternoon convection often limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Key differentiating factors include steering winds, sea surface temperatures influencing moisture influx, and the precise timing of storms relative to the diurnal maximum. Short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to model sensitivity in tropical environments, with updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 19 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 19 сентября?
32°C 40%
31°C 34%
30°C 12%
33°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
12%
31°C
34%
32°C
40%
33°C
9%
34°C или выше
6%
32°C 40%
31°C 34%
30°C 12%
33°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$81 Объем
<1%
25°C
$231 Объем
<1%
26°C
$31 Объем
<1%
27°C
$4 Объем
1%
28°C
$0 Объем
2%
29°C
$0 Объем
8%
30°C
$381 Объем
12%
31°C
$511 Объем
34%
32°C
$3,491 Объем
40%
33°C
$149 Объем
9%
34°C или выше
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 19 amid typical September conditions of high humidity near 80% and widespread thunderstorm activity with 80–95% precipitation probability. This closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C reflect trader consensus on model consensus and historical climatology, where afternoon convection often limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Key differentiating factors include steering winds, sea surface temperatures influencing moisture influx, and the precise timing of storms relative to the diurnal maximum. Short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to model sensitivity in tropical environments, with updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,879Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 19 amid typical September conditions of high humidity near 80% and widespread thunderstorm activity with 80–95% precipitation probability. This closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C reflect trader consensus on model consensus and historical climatology, where afternoon convection often limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Key differentiating factors include steering winds, sea surface temperatures influencing moisture influx, and the precise timing of storms relative to the diurnal maximum. Short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to model sensitivity in tropical environments, with updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,879Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C for Panama City, Panama, on September 19 amid typical September conditions of high humidity near 80% and widespread thunderstorm activity with 80–95% precipitation probability. This closely matched market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C reflect trader consensus on model consensus and historical climatology, where afternoon convection often limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Key differentiating factors include steering winds, sea surface temperatures influencing moisture influx, and the precise timing of storms relative to the diurnal maximum. Short-term forecast uncertainty persists due to model sensitivity in tropical environments, with updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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