Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds, reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.1°C. Recent model updates have shown little divergence on maximum temperatures, supporting trader confidence in this narrow range while leaving limited room for 23°C or 26°C outcomes unless steering patterns or cloud cover shift unexpectedly before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 11 сентября?
24°C 52%
25°C 40%
23°C 8%
26°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$26,343 Объем
НОВОЕ
$26,343 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
52%
25°C
40%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
24°C 52%
25°C 40%
23°C 8%
26°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$26,343 Объем
НОВОЕ
$26,343 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$1,202 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,336 Объем
<1%
21°C
$510 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,362 Объем
1%
23°C
$4,538 Объем
8%
24°C
$4,216 Объем
52%
25°C
$5,680 Объем
40%
26°C
$3,621 Объем
5%
27°C
$1,965 Объем
1%
28°C
$515 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$1,398 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds, reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.1°C. Recent model updates have shown little divergence on maximum temperatures, supporting trader confidence in this narrow range while leaving limited room for 23°C or 26°C outcomes unless steering patterns or cloud cover shift unexpectedly before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$26,343Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds, reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.1°C. Recent model updates have shown little divergence on maximum temperatures, supporting trader confidence in this narrow range while leaving limited room for 23°C or 26°C outcomes unless steering patterns or cloud cover shift unexpectedly before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$26,343Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a high near 24–25°C for Paris on September 11 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds, reflecting typical early-September conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 22.1°C. Recent model updates have shown little divergence on maximum temperatures, supporting trader confidence in this narrow range while leaving limited room for 23°C or 26°C outcomes unless steering patterns or cloud cover shift unexpectedly before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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