A strong influx of cold polar air from the south, combined with sustained southerly winds averaging 25-30 km/h, drove sharp overnight cooling in Buenos Aires on September 12, pushing minimum temperatures into the mid-4°C to 7°C range. High humidity near 70-80% and persistent cloud cover limited radiative cooling while enhancing the thermal sensation, creating tight uncertainty around the precise low recorded at official stations such as Aeroparque or Ezeiza. Model guidance showed minor divergences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing that separated a 4°C-or-below outcome from the 6°C-7°C cluster, with traders weighting recent observational trends and historical September cold-surge analogs to assess the most likely official minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 12 сентября?
4°C или ниже 98%
6°C 51%
7°C 50%
5°C 50%
$683 Объем
$683 Объем
4°C или ниже
98%
5°C
50%
6°C
51%
7°C
50%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
4°C или ниже 98%
6°C 51%
7°C 50%
5°C 50%
$683 Объем
$683 Объем
4°C или ниже
98%
5°C
50%
6°C
51%
7°C
50%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A strong influx of cold polar air from the south, combined with sustained southerly winds averaging 25-30 km/h, drove sharp overnight cooling in Buenos Aires on September 12, pushing minimum temperatures into the mid-4°C to 7°C range. High humidity near 70-80% and persistent cloud cover limited radiative cooling while enhancing the thermal sensation, creating tight uncertainty around the precise low recorded at official stations such as Aeroparque or Ezeiza. Model guidance showed minor divergences in boundary-layer mixing and wind timing that separated a 4°C-or-below outcome from the 6°C-7°C cluster, with traders weighting recent observational trends and historical September cold-surge analogs to assess the most likely official minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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