Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 12 сентября?
90-91°F 47%
88-89°F 41%
92-93°F 9%
86-87°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
2%
96–97°F
1%
98°F или выше
<1%
90-91°F 47%
88-89°F 41%
92-93°F 9%
86-87°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
79°F или ниже
$127 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$196 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$500 Объем
1%
84-85°F
$402 Объем
2%
86-87°F
$430 Объем
4%
88-89°F
$1,322 Объем
41%
90-91°F
$1,808 Объем
47%
92-93°F
$603 Объем
9%
94-95°F
$650 Объем
2%
96–97°F
$118 Объем
1%
98°F или выше
$264 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$6,422Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,422Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a high near 88–89°F for Miami on September 12 amid typical late-summer southeast flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects ensemble spread in guidance, recent September days running slightly above the 89.5°F climatological average, and the potential for brief clearing to allow modest additional warming before convection develops. Lower probabilities for 92°F+ or sub-88°F outcomes align with the narrow range of most deterministic runs and the moderating influence of cloud cover and sea-breeze effects. Updated model guidance and local observations through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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