Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid the rainy season’s cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress daytime heating. Afternoon instability and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty around peak values, with some ensemble runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 25°C and 35.5% for 26°C or above captures this narrow window for exceeding the central forecast range, while lower outcomes align with typical climatological September highs near 23–24°C under persistent moisture. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 12 сентября?
25°C 50%
26°C или выше 38%
24°C 10%
22°C 1.6%
НОВОЕ
$11,580 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,580 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
50%
26°C или выше
38%
25°C 50%
26°C или выше 38%
24°C 10%
22°C 1.6%
НОВОЕ
$11,580 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,580 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$127 Объем
<1%
17°C
$127 Объем
<1%
18°C
$127 Объем
<1%
19°C
$112 Объем
<1%
20°C
$129 Объем
<1%
21°C
$336 Объем
<1%
22°C
$250 Объем
2%
23°C
$837 Объем
1%
24°C
$1,999 Объем
10%
25°C
$2,720 Объем
50%
26°C или выше
$4,817 Объем
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid the rainy season’s cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress daytime heating. Afternoon instability and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty around peak values, with some ensemble runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 25°C and 35.5% for 26°C or above captures this narrow window for exceeding the central forecast range, while lower outcomes align with typical climatological September highs near 23–24°C under persistent moisture. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$11,580Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid the rainy season’s cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress daytime heating. Afternoon instability and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty around peak values, with some ensemble runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 25°C and 35.5% for 26°C or above captures this narrow window for exceeding the central forecast range, while lower outcomes align with typical climatological September highs near 23–24°C under persistent moisture. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,580Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Mexico City’s maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid the rainy season’s cloud cover and scattered showers, which suppress daytime heating. Afternoon instability and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty around peak values, with some ensemble runs allowing brief clearing that could push readings slightly higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 25°C and 35.5% for 26°C or above captures this narrow window for exceeding the central forecast range, while lower outcomes align with typical climatological September highs near 23–24°C under persistent moisture. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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