Trader sentiment for Manila's September 13 high temperature centers on monsoon-season cloud cover and convective rainfall, which limit solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling in a region with typical September maxima near 31°C. Forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF show afternoon highs of 29–31°C under mostly overcast skies, 70–90% storm chances, light northwest winds, and humidity above 75%, with brief windows of clearer conditions potentially allowing peaks near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds favor 31–32°C because traders weigh historical climatology against current model consensus on precipitation timing, noting that reduced insolation from persistent cloud decks or earlier showers would cap readings at 30°C or below. PAGASA updates and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
32°C 40%
31°C 28%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
40%
33°C
16%
34°C или выше
9%
32°C 40%
31°C 28%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$247 Объем
<1%
25°C
$287 Объем
<1%
26°C
$275 Объем
<1%
27°C
$0 Объем
2%
28°C
$517 Объем
2%
29°C
$320 Объем
3%
30°C
$404 Объем
12%
31°C
$1,304 Объем
28%
32°C
$1,426 Объем
40%
33°C
$361 Объем
16%
34°C или выше
$285 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 13 high temperature centers on monsoon-season cloud cover and convective rainfall, which limit solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling in a region with typical September maxima near 31°C. Forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF show afternoon highs of 29–31°C under mostly overcast skies, 70–90% storm chances, light northwest winds, and humidity above 75%, with brief windows of clearer conditions potentially allowing peaks near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds favor 31–32°C because traders weigh historical climatology against current model consensus on precipitation timing, noting that reduced insolation from persistent cloud decks or earlier showers would cap readings at 30°C or below. PAGASA updates and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$5,425Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 13 high temperature centers on monsoon-season cloud cover and convective rainfall, which limit solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling in a region with typical September maxima near 31°C. Forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF show afternoon highs of 29–31°C under mostly overcast skies, 70–90% storm chances, light northwest winds, and humidity above 75%, with brief windows of clearer conditions potentially allowing peaks near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds favor 31–32°C because traders weigh historical climatology against current model consensus on precipitation timing, noting that reduced insolation from persistent cloud decks or earlier showers would cap readings at 30°C or below. PAGASA updates and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,425Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Manila's September 13 high temperature centers on monsoon-season cloud cover and convective rainfall, which limit solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling in a region with typical September maxima near 31°C. Forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF show afternoon highs of 29–31°C under mostly overcast skies, 70–90% storm chances, light northwest winds, and humidity above 75%, with brief windows of clearer conditions potentially allowing peaks near 32–33°C. Market-implied odds favor 31–32°C because traders weigh historical climatology against current model consensus on precipitation timing, noting that reduced insolation from persistent cloud decks or earlier showers would cap readings at 30°C or below. PAGASA updates and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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