Traders see 26–27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Chongqing on September 14 because recent numerical weather prediction runs indicate increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest northerly flow that will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling relative to the late-summer climatological mean near 29°C. These conditions differentiate the narrow range of outcomes: thicker low-level cloud decks or earlier onset of precipitation would cap the peak closer to 25–26°C, while clearer breaks or delayed rain could allow brief warming to 28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing and intensity, directly informing further shifts in market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 14 сентября?
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
9%
24°C
11%
25°C
15%
26°C
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
14%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C или выше
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$83 Объем
9%
24°C
$20 Объем
11%
25°C
$6 Объем
15%
26°C
$6 Объем
26%
27°C
$7 Объем
22%
28°C
$0 Объем
14%
29°C
$8 Объем
7%
30°C
$0 Объем
3%
31°C
$0 Объем
1%
32°C
$0 Объем
1%
33°C или выше
$30 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 26–27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Chongqing on September 14 because recent numerical weather prediction runs indicate increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest northerly flow that will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling relative to the late-summer climatological mean near 29°C. These conditions differentiate the narrow range of outcomes: thicker low-level cloud decks or earlier onset of precipitation would cap the peak closer to 25–26°C, while clearer breaks or delayed rain could allow brief warming to 28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing and intensity, directly informing further shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$159Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 26–27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Chongqing on September 14 because recent numerical weather prediction runs indicate increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest northerly flow that will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling relative to the late-summer climatological mean near 29°C. These conditions differentiate the narrow range of outcomes: thicker low-level cloud decks or earlier onset of precipitation would cap the peak closer to 25–26°C, while clearer breaks or delayed rain could allow brief warming to 28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing and intensity, directly informing further shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$159Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 26–27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Chongqing on September 14 because recent numerical weather prediction runs indicate increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest northerly flow that will limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling relative to the late-summer climatological mean near 29°C. These conditions differentiate the narrow range of outcomes: thicker low-level cloud decks or earlier onset of precipitation would cap the peak closer to 25–26°C, while clearer breaks or delayed rain could allow brief warming to 28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated ECMWF/GFS ensembles expected over the next 24–48 hours will refine timing and intensity, directly informing further shifts in market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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