Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 13, driven by persistent easterly moisture transport and a subtropical trough, which will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This convective activity favors a daily maximum near 30–31 °C rather than higher values, as evaporative cooling and reduced insolation limit surface warming despite climatological September averages around 31–32 °C. Model consensus shows only modest timing differences in storm onset, creating the tight market spread between 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes; any delay in precipitation could briefly allow a 32 °C spike, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 13 сентября?
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 23%
32°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
29%
32°C
13%
33°C
6%
34°C
8%
35°C
7%
36°C или выше
4%
30°C 30%
31°C 29%
29°C 23%
32°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$348 Объем
3%
27°C
$1 Объем
7%
28°C
$0 Объем
9%
29°C
$472 Объем
17%
30°C
$0 Объем
30%
31°C
$10 Объем
29%
32°C
$42 Объем
13%
33°C
$140 Объем
6%
34°C
$0 Объем
8%
35°C
$0 Объем
7%
36°C или выше
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 13, driven by persistent easterly moisture transport and a subtropical trough, which will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This convective activity favors a daily maximum near 30–31 °C rather than higher values, as evaporative cooling and reduced insolation limit surface warming despite climatological September averages around 31–32 °C. Model consensus shows only modest timing differences in storm onset, creating the tight market spread between 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes; any delay in precipitation could briefly allow a 32 °C spike, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,012Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 13, driven by persistent easterly moisture transport and a subtropical trough, which will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This convective activity favors a daily maximum near 30–31 °C rather than higher values, as evaporative cooling and reduced insolation limit surface warming despite climatological September averages around 31–32 °C. Model consensus shows only modest timing differences in storm onset, creating the tight market spread between 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes; any delay in precipitation could briefly allow a 32 °C spike, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,012Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate scattered to widespread thunderstorms on September 13, driven by persistent easterly moisture transport and a subtropical trough, which will increase cloud cover and reduce solar heating during peak afternoon hours. This convective activity favors a daily maximum near 30–31 °C rather than higher values, as evaporative cooling and reduced insolation limit surface warming despite climatological September averages around 31–32 °C. Model consensus shows only modest timing differences in storm onset, creating the tight market spread between 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes; any delay in precipitation could briefly allow a 32 °C spike, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end. Updated guidance from regional agencies is expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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