Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and official guidance show Tokyo under persistent cloud cover with scattered showers and southerly flow, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as afternoon observations hover in the upper 20s Celsius amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. September climatology supports highs around 28–29°C as typical, while any break in cloudiness could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C; however, ongoing rain chances and model consensus favor the lower end of the range. Japan Meteorological Agency surface data and updated model outputs expected through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 8 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 8 сентября?
28°C 49%
27°C 30%
29°C 12%
26°C или ниже 6%
НОВОЕ
$33,660 Объем
НОВОЕ
$33,660 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
6%
27°C
30%
28°C
49%
29°C
12%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 30%
29°C 12%
26°C или ниже 6%
НОВОЕ
$33,660 Объем
НОВОЕ
$33,660 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$6,657 Объем
6%
27°C
$4,855 Объем
30%
28°C
$4,791 Объем
49%
29°C
$3,485 Объем
12%
30°C
$4,279 Объем
6%
31°C
$2,255 Объем
5%
32°C
$2,835 Объем
<1%
33°C
$589 Объем
<1%
34°C
$1,297 Объем
<1%
35°C
$1,319 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$1,298 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and official guidance show Tokyo under persistent cloud cover with scattered showers and southerly flow, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as afternoon observations hover in the upper 20s Celsius amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. September climatology supports highs around 28–29°C as typical, while any break in cloudiness could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C; however, ongoing rain chances and model consensus favor the lower end of the range. Japan Meteorological Agency surface data and updated model outputs expected through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$33,660Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and official guidance show Tokyo under persistent cloud cover with scattered showers and southerly flow, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as afternoon observations hover in the upper 20s Celsius amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. September climatology supports highs around 28–29°C as typical, while any break in cloudiness could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C; however, ongoing rain chances and model consensus favor the lower end of the range. Japan Meteorological Agency surface data and updated model outputs expected through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$33,660Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and official guidance show Tokyo under persistent cloud cover with scattered showers and southerly flow, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum near 28°C. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as afternoon observations hover in the upper 20s Celsius amid high humidity and light-to-moderate winds. September climatology supports highs around 28–29°C as typical, while any break in cloudiness could allow brief warming toward 29–30°C; however, ongoing rain chances and model consensus favor the lower end of the range. Japan Meteorological Agency surface data and updated model outputs expected through the afternoon remain the key near-term drivers for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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