Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and subsequent northerly wind shift will drive overnight cooling in Tokyo on September 9, positioning minimum temperatures near 21–22°C as the market consensus. Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon and evening, combined with reduced southerly flow, suppress radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. Historical September minima average 21–22°C, and current guidance shows limited model spread around these values with no strong signals for deeper cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to weigh the timing of wind veering and precipitation intensity as key variables ahead of final observational data from Tokyo’s official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 9 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 9 сентября?
22°C 48%
21°C 36%
23°C 8%
20°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
36%
22°C
48%
23°C
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C 36%
23°C 8%
20°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$35 Объем
3%
20°C
$576 Объем
8%
21°C
$642 Объем
36%
22°C
$316 Объем
48%
23°C
$1,044 Объем
8%
24°C
$315 Объем
5%
25°C
$0 Объем
1%
26°C
$0 Объем
1%
27°C
$0 Объем
1%
28°C
$15 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$115 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and subsequent northerly wind shift will drive overnight cooling in Tokyo on September 9, positioning minimum temperatures near 21–22°C as the market consensus. Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon and evening, combined with reduced southerly flow, suppress radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. Historical September minima average 21–22°C, and current guidance shows limited model spread around these values with no strong signals for deeper cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to weigh the timing of wind veering and precipitation intensity as key variables ahead of final observational data from Tokyo’s official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$2,708Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and subsequent northerly wind shift will drive overnight cooling in Tokyo on September 9, positioning minimum temperatures near 21–22°C as the market consensus. Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon and evening, combined with reduced southerly flow, suppress radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. Historical September minima average 21–22°C, and current guidance shows limited model spread around these values with no strong signals for deeper cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to weigh the timing of wind veering and precipitation intensity as key variables ahead of final observational data from Tokyo’s official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,708Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a stationary front and subsequent northerly wind shift will drive overnight cooling in Tokyo on September 9, positioning minimum temperatures near 21–22°C as the market consensus. Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms expected through the afternoon and evening, combined with reduced southerly flow, suppress radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air. Historical September minima average 21–22°C, and current guidance shows limited model spread around these values with no strong signals for deeper cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to weigh the timing of wind veering and precipitation intensity as key variables ahead of final observational data from Tokyo’s official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы