Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to sunny skies and southerly winds over Moscow on September 10, favoring a daily maximum temperature near 24–25°C, well above the long-term average high of roughly 17.5°C. Current runs show afternoon peaks of 23–25°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light winds, consistent with trader-implied probabilities centering on those outcomes. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in peak heating introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution, though no significant cooling factors such as cloud cover or precipitation are indicated in the latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 10 сентября?
25°C 52%
24°C 21%
26°C 15%
23°C 6%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
52%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C или выше
2%
25°C 52%
24°C 21%
26°C 15%
23°C 6%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
52%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS points to sunny skies and southerly winds over Moscow on September 10, favoring a daily maximum temperature near 24–25°C, well above the long-term average high of roughly 17.5°C. Current runs show afternoon peaks of 23–25°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light winds, consistent with trader-implied probabilities centering on those outcomes. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in peak heating introduce modest uncertainty around exact resolution, though no significant cooling factors such as cloud cover or precipitation are indicated in the latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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