Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity from ongoing tropical moisture and weak steering winds are anchoring overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–26°C on September 14, limiting radiative cooling under the urban heat island. Official guidance from regional models shows light northerly flow and dew points near 24°C, which supports the market’s tight clustering between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes at roughly 28–31% each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a modest elevation above that baseline. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity introduces uncertainty that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 14 сентября?
30°C или выше 59%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
27°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
17%
21°C
14%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
31%
27°C
40%
28°C
18%
29°C
18%
30°C или выше
59%
30°C или выше 59%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
27°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
17%
21°C
$0 Объем
14%
22°C
$0 Объем
40%
23°C
$0 Объем
40%
24°C
$0 Объем
22%
25°C
$21 Объем
28%
26°C
$0 Объем
31%
27°C
$17 Объем
40%
28°C
$0 Объем
18%
29°C
$0 Объем
18%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity from ongoing tropical moisture and weak steering winds are anchoring overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–26°C on September 14, limiting radiative cooling under the urban heat island. Official guidance from regional models shows light northerly flow and dew points near 24°C, which supports the market’s tight clustering between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes at roughly 28–31% each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a modest elevation above that baseline. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity introduces uncertainty that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$38Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity from ongoing tropical moisture and weak steering winds are anchoring overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–26°C on September 14, limiting radiative cooling under the urban heat island. Official guidance from regional models shows light northerly flow and dew points near 24°C, which supports the market’s tight clustering between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes at roughly 28–31% each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a modest elevation above that baseline. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity introduces uncertainty that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity from ongoing tropical moisture and weak steering winds are anchoring overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–26°C on September 14, limiting radiative cooling under the urban heat island. Official guidance from regional models shows light northerly flow and dew points near 24°C, which supports the market’s tight clustering between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes at roughly 28–31% each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a modest elevation above that baseline. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing and shower intensity introduces uncertainty that could shift the realized minimum by 1–2°C either way before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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