Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 12 сентября?
19°C 80%
18°C 17%
20°C 11%
23°C <1%
$17,595 Объем
$17,595 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
17%
19°C
73%
20°C
11%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
19°C 80%
18°C 17%
20°C 11%
23°C <1%
$17,595 Объем
$17,595 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$456 Объем
<1%
16°C
$187 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,485 Объем
<1%
18°C
$4,434 Объем
17%
19°C
$3,428 Объем
73%
20°C
$5,191 Объем
11%
21°C
$1,207 Объем
<1%
22°C
$286 Объем
<1%
23°C
$378 Объем
<1%
24°C
$105 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$437 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$17,595Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,595Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS-based models and official meteorological services indicate a daytime maximum near 19°C in Warsaw under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure around 1022 hPa, aligning with the market's strong 74% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon readings have hovered near 18°C with limited warming expected, consistent with seasonal norms of roughly 19°C maximum for mid-September and minimal convective activity. Model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in cloud cover could nudge the peak toward 18°C or 20°C, explaining the secondary 20% and 11% odds. Live observations and short-term updates through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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